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Mutual Funds

What are Mutual Funds ?

 

The Definition

A mutual fund is nothing more than a collection of stocks and/or bonds. You can think of a mutual fund as a company that brings together a group of people and invests their money in stocks, bonds, and other securities. Each investor owns shares, which represent a portion of the holdings of the fund.

You can make money from a mutual fund in three ways:

1) Income is earned from dividends on stocks and interest on bonds. A fund pays out nearly all of the income it receives over the year to fund owners in the form of a distribution.

2) If the fund sells securities that have increased in price, the fund has a capital gain. Most funds also pass on these gains to investors in a distribution.

3) If fund holdings increase in price but are not sold by the fund manager, the fund's shares increase in price. You can then sell your mutual fund shares for a profit.

Funds will also usually give you a choice either to receive a check for distributions or to reinvest the earnings and get more shares.


Advantages of Mutual Funds

• Professional Management - The primary advantage of funds is the professional management of your money. Investors purchase funds because they do not have the time or the expertise to manage their own portfolios. A mutual fund is a relatively inexpensive way for a small investor to get a full-time manager to make and monitor investments.

• Diversification - By owning shares in a mutual fund instead of owning individual stocks or bonds, your risk is spread out. The idea behind diversification is to invest in a large number of assets so that a loss in any particular investment is minimized by gains in others. In other words, the more stocks and bonds you own, the less any one of them can hurt you (read about Enron scandal). Large mutual funds typically own hundreds of different stocks in many different industries. It wouldn't be possible for an investor to build this kind of a portfolio with a small amount of money.

• Economies of Scale - Because a mutual fund buys and sells large amounts of securities at a time, its transaction costs are lower than what an individual would pay for securities transactions.

• Liquidity - Just like an individual stock, a mutual fund allows you to request that your shares be converted into cash at any time. • Simplicity - Buying a mutual fund is easy! Pretty well any bank has its own line of mutual funds, and the minimum investment is small. Most companies also have automatic purchase plans whereby as little as $100 can be invested on a monthly basis.

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Market Views

Please click here for Monthly Equity & Debt Outlook Presentation – September 2020.

  

Key Events:

·         1Q FY21 Real GDP growth contracted by 23.9% YoY, weaker than the street estimates. Led by a strict lockdown and labor migration, construction was the worst hit, followed by trade, hotels, transport and communication. 

 

·         MPC took a pause in the rate easing cycle while refraining from giving any specific forecasts on growth & inflation given heightened uncertainty.

 

·         July’s CPI print of 6.9% (v/s 6.2% in June) drastically reduced chances of a rate cut for the rest of this fiscal year. RBI’s recent policy statement had predicted inflation to stay elevated till Sep and see moderation in 2HFY21.

 

·         India’s trade balance turned to a deficit of ~$4.8bn in July are a rare surplus of ~$0.8bn in June, as gold and other imports started to pick-up. Exports in July were down ~10% in July at $23.6bn while imports at $28.4bn.

 

·         India’s fiscal deficit stood at Rs8.2trn at the end of July, at ~103% of the budgeted target for the current fiscal year. Sharp fall in tax receipts coupled with resilient government expenditure led to the high deficit in the period.

 

·         After an erratic July, August witnessed excess rainfall of 26%, highest print since 1901. Rainfall is already at a record in states of Maharashtra, Madhya Pradesh, Gujarat, and Odisha.

 

·         Indian Equities moved slightly higher (Nifty +2.8%) in August.

Please click here for Monthly Equity & Debt Outlook Presentation – August 2020

 

Key Events: 

·         Nifty (+7.5%) made new highs (breaching 200DMA & 11k for the first time since March fall) in July but more than half of its gains were contributed by just two stocks.

·         After a sharp recovery (>+50%) from April lows, activity levels peaked in early-July and were still >15% below pre-Covid levels.

·         The MPC, unanimously, kept the repo rate unchanged at 4% but retained the ‘accommodative’ stance.

·         Headline CPI moderated to 6.1% for June after peaking at 7.2% in April. Core Inflation at 5.1% was still elevated in June suggesting that despite the subdued demand, the supply disruption led CPI to spike

·         After almost 18 years, India reported a trade surplus of $0.8bn in June driven by broad-based export rebound and still weak import demand. Oil imports were suppressed by low oil, but non-oil trade improved sharply

·         Centre’s fiscal deficit during 1Q of this fiscal stood at ~83% of Budget Estimate. Reports suggested that actual fiscal deficit for FY21 could be as high as 7.6%, almost 2x budget

Please click here for Monthly Equity & Debt Outlook Presentation – July 2020

·       Nifty (up +7.5%) finally decoupled from the US markets (S&P up only +1.8%) and outperformed during June.

 

·       Despite the headwinds, Indian markets continued to rise due to high foreign inflows (+$2.5bn, highest monthly inflows in 2020) and marginal domestic institutional buying (+$0.3bn). In sectorial trends, all sectors were up v/s May with Realty and Banks at the top.

 

·       After the border clash with China led to 20 Indian casualties, the Indian forces deployed along the 3500-km border were given “full freedom” to counter any aggressive Chinese behavior . Later both countries, however, agreed on a “step-wise mutual disengagement” from areas of friction in Ladakh averting further escalation. 

 

·       IMF projected a deeper 4.5% contraction (vs -1.9% in April) for India in FY21 citing a longer lockdown period and slower than anticipated recovery. FY22 growth forecasted at +6% vs +7.4% earlier.

 

·       Moody’s downgraded India’s rating to Baa3, last level of investment grade rating, while keeping outlook as negative. whereas Fitch reaffirmed BBB- rating but changed the outlook to negative. S&P retained BBB- rating with a stable outlook. 

 

·       The gross GST revenue collected in the month of June, 2020 is Rs 90,917 crore.

 

·       The India Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) edged up to 47.2 in June, compared with 30.8 in May.

 

·       May merchandise trade deficit narrowed to a decade low $3.2bn on weak crude and faster recovery in exports vs imports.

 

·       RBI’s FX reserves hit a record $500bn on portfolio inflows and lower trade deficit.

An overview of last week's market. #KMFMarketRoundUp (4th September 2020 - 11th September 2020)
14/09/2020 09:57:41
An overview of last week's market. #KMFMarketRoundUp (28th August 2020 - 4th September 2020)
07/09/2020 10:40:29
Debt Market Outlook - September 2020 by Ms. Lakshmi Iyer, President, CIO (Debt) & Head Products
03/09/2020 11:02:46
 

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